[TimorLesteStudies] New article: Investigation into the population growth and its implications for primary schooling in Timor-Leste by 2020
bu.wilson at anu.edu.au
Thu Aug 25 16:14:06 EST 2011
Saikia,U., Hosgelen,M., Chalmers, J. 2011. Investigation into the population growth and its implications for primary schooling in Timor-Leste by 2020, Asia Pacific Viewpoint, 52(2), pp 194-206.
nation-building process of Timor-Leste, the newest nation in Asia,
faces significant demographic challenges due to its high population
growth, which is the fastest in Asia. The major contributor for this
unprecedented growth is the extremely high total fertility rate of
Timor-Leste, among the highest in the world. It is of great concern that
if the current fertility rate and its implied population growth
continue the population of Timor-Leste will double in 17 years. The
analysis in this paper clearly shows that the current extremely high
dependency ratio will decline only marginally in the next 10 years and
this will put tremendous pressure on the government to constantly keep
up with the increasing number of children entering school every year.
However, as the intrinsic value of human resource development feeds back
into the overall society and economy, an adequate public investment in
knowledge-producing services at the earliest stages of life and
throughout that life has the potential to change the demographic concern
of Timor-Leste into a future demographic dividend.
Dr Bu V.E. Wilson
T: Australia +61 0 407 087 086
T: Timor-Leste + 670 744 0011
E: buvewilson at gmail.com
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