[LINK] My predictions for 2008
grove at zeta.org.au
grove at zeta.org.au
Mon Dec 31 14:57:43 EST 2007
I forgot what my 2007 predictions were, so I will just spill my 2008 ones now!
(in no particular order)
1) The Telstra Amigos will miss the chance of a lifetime and
try to go it alone against the broadband rollout. Labor will eventually
split the telco into the retail/infrastructure stocks in an effort
to stem the blood letting. The public infrastructure side will then
buy back into the broadband networks and the retail side will flounder,
exposed as the grubby marketing scam it is.
2) There will be all sorts of problems opening the Apple iPhone in Australia
due to licensing, bandwidth and competition concerns. iPhone will
flop until the market lobbies for open access.
3) ACMA will prosecute online scams/sites/etc overseas for the first
time, using cross deals with Asia/US/EU.
4) Australia will have an "Internet blackout" for the first time
when major network overloads are experienced at the border gateways.
Cisco Systems and others will deny responsibility for hacked versions
5) The ABC will receive a huge injection of funds, but will have
complete restructure from board down as a result. Union presence
in the ABC will be minimised.
6) Supplies of rare earths, metals and noble elements will become
extremely scarce. Stock prices for these will skyrocket, tech drivers
will be put on hold and commodity tech goods will inflate or become
impossible to get. An IT equipment demand will emerge and vendors will
be forced to use what they have. Business will innovate and extend
lifetime of existing systems until the new tech becomes affordable again.
The second hand IT market rockets up and Linux finds a new market in
7) Sun and Apple will finally merge and a whole new product line evolves.
8) Microsoft - "Vista should never have been released". Promises things
will be different, next time. Continues support for XP and backdates
licenses so they keep business. Expect a stock shakeout signalling
start of recession in US as Super, public housing and other MS dependent
stock owners suffer.
9) Virtualisation becomes mainstream, with purpose built engines
provided with VM ready OS available as a default. Substandard
components will cause major "grid failures" as dozens of VM nodes
collapse on failing hardware based on "6".
10) Television finally "gets" the Internet, with new shows and promos
being simulcast on all media with private "TVtubes" provided by
the media companies themselves and sponsored by the admedia. 6 months
later, the first feature film is released at the box office and the
Rachel Polanskis Kingswood, Greater Western Sydney, Australia
grove at zeta.org.au http://www.zeta.org.au/~grove/grove.html
The price of greatness is responsibility.
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