[TimorLesteStudies] New article: Investigation into the population growth and its implications for primary schooling in Timor-Leste by 2020

[Bu Wilson]

Saikia,U., Hosgelen,M., Chalmers, J. 2011. Investigation into the population growth and its implications for primary schooling in Timor-Leste by 2020, Asia Pacific Viewpoint, 52(2), pp 194-206.

Keywords:
	human resources;
	infrastructure;
	population growth;
	primary education;
	public expenditure;
	Timor-Leste



Abstract
The
 nation-building process of Timor-Leste, the newest nation in Asia, 
faces significant demographic challenges due to its high population 
growth, which is the fastest in Asia. The major contributor for this 
unprecedented growth is the extremely high total fertility rate of 
Timor-Leste, among the highest in the world. It is of great concern that
 if the current fertility rate and its implied population growth 
continue the population of Timor-Leste will double in 17 years. The 
analysis in this paper clearly shows that the current extremely high 
dependency ratio will decline only marginally in the next 10 years and 
this will put tremendous pressure on the government to constantly keep 
up with the increasing number of children entering school every year. 
However, as the intrinsic value of human resource development feeds back
 into the overall society and economy, an adequate public investment in 
knowledge-producing services at the earliest stages of life and 
throughout that life has the potential to change the demographic concern
 of Timor-Leste into a future demographic dividend.







--
Dr Bu V.E. Wilson
T: Australia +61  0  407 087 086
T: Timor-Leste + 670 744 0011
E: buvewilson at gmail.com

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