[LINK] Re: Any IPv4 to IPv6 comments?

[Geoff Huston]

stephen at melbpc.org.au wrote:
> Geoff, is the IPv4 depletion date on track here?
> 
> ** JPNIC releases statement on IPv4 consumption **
> ,
> <http://www.apnic.net/news/2007/0626.html>
> 

Pretty much. I set up a web page some years back to do the work of data 
extraction, smoothing, curve-fitting and prediction via a script that 
runs every day. The script is currently predicting an IANA pool IPv4 
exhaustion in April 2010, and the first RIR to run out in November 2010.

Its a pretty optimistic prediction method and it does not take into 
account any form of last-chance run, nor the fine-grained level of 
fragmentation in some of the older address blocks that make some of the 
space unuseable. So early 2010 is a reasonable estimate given the recent 
data.

http://ipv4.potaroo.net

Geoff