[LINK] IPv6 doomed

[Glen Turner]

Kim Davies wrote:
> Quoting Kim Holburn on Sunday August 24, 2008:
> | 
> | They could always claw back the big class A's and class B's and break  
> | them up and give some of them to India, Japan or China ;-)
> 
> It is estimated reclamation of these kinds of blocks would only extend
> the IANA pool exhaustion by a few months. Indeed, the reclamation is
> difficult - Net 14 took months and many man-hours and it was <0.1% utilised.

It is anticipated that the current Region Internet Registry rules will
change to allow arbitrary IP address space transfers. So if you hold
a underused /16 then you'll have a financial incentive to sell it to
someone else. [Obviously there are issues with such a market -- it
doesn't meet the usual rules required for a "free market"]

Also, the amount of IPv4 space required will fall. The increased price
will lead to the deployment of Network Address Translation within the
ISPs themselves. [Noting that this allows the ISP to control the applications
running on the network, and perhaps differentially bill for them].

IPv6's strength will be in allowing new protocols (where support
from the carrier's NAT will be slow) and in allowing high performance
(all that NAT costs time).

-- 
  Glen Turner   <http://www.gdt.id.au/~gdt/>