[LINK] Just 16 per cent tipped to take up NBN

[Stilgherrian]

On 07/06/2010, at 5:46 PM, Jan Whitaker wrote:
> Not that I am a Conroy fan, but this was put to him on Jon Faine's 
> program on ABC this morning. The point Conroy made was that this data 
> was pre-NBN. Supposedly the Tassie data is now a survey result of 48% 
> take-up indication.

More to the point, from the original article:

'Aurora, however, played down the significance of the low demand estimates.

"The . . . estimates are not projections of take-up rates; rather they 
were used as inputs into a financial model which estimated the financial 
implications of an assumed take-up rate," Dr Davis said.

"The take-up rate assumption in the financial model was conservative . . 
. and . . . based on the fact that under the model proposed there would 
be very strong competition for broadband customers."'

In other words, if we assume for the moment that Aurora is telling the truth about their cost models, this wasn't a "survey" at all. It was simply some random number the shoved into a cost model to see what it looked like.

Stil


-- 
Stilgherrian http://stilgherrian.com/
Internet, IT and Media Consulting, Sydney, Australia
mobile +61 407 623 600
fax +61 2 8569 2006
Twitter: stilgherrian
Skype: stilgherrian
ABN 25 231 641 421