[LINK] Employment Estimates for Energy Efficiency, Retrofits of Commercial Buildings (june 2, 2011)

[Tom Koltai]

Tks Marghanita

Quite helpful. Although as its based on BEA data I would allocate a
discount of about 8% to all the resulting figures.

US unemployment figures only count the numbers receiving unemployment
insurance (social security). They do not include those that are
unemployed but are no longer able to receive unemployment insurance. 

Therefore retrofit projects that result in new entrants (under these
calculations) into the workforce are not automatically calculated on all
unemployed.
Ergo the approximated discount.

(The official BEA stats also do not calculate illegals as being part of
the unemployed numbers. Nor do the illegals get counted in the employed
statistics - so there is a knock-on statistical poisoning effect on the
amount of benefit to the economy that is unable to measured using Dr.
Heidi Garrett-Peltiers' 40% induced benefit model.)

Nevertheless, the model can be transposed onto Australian conditions and
as our unemployment are slightly more accurate, hardly need adjustment
at all...  (to be safe, I would estimate a variance possibly as high as
-3% [we don't have many illegals])

All in all Dr. Garrett-Peltier has evidenced a sound theory for
combining job creation, effective pollution mitigation [almost Kyoto
compliant] through power reduction strategies.
An excellent paper, only let down by the pressures on the BEA to provide
politically friendly statistics. 

TomK



> -----Original Message-----
> From: link-bounces at mailman.anu.edu.au 
> [mailto:link-bounces at mailman.anu.edu.au] On Behalf Of 
> Marghanita da Cruz
> Sent: Friday, 17 June 2011 10:56 AM
> To: Link list
> Subject: [LINK] Employment Estimates for Energy Efficiency, 
> Retrofits of Commercial Buildings (june 2, 2011)
> 
> 
> Interesting US report on Jobs in Energy Efficiency Retrofits 
> of Commercial 
> Buildings - includes:
> 
> > Using the I-O model, we estimate the number of jobs created 
> for each 
> > $1 million spent in the industries we would expect are most 
> affected 
> > by increased demand for commercial building EE retrofits. 
> These include the manufacturing and installation of the 
> following types of technologies:2
> >         §   lighting upgrades;
> >         §   heating, ventilation, and air conditioning 
> (HVAC) upgrades;
> >         §   water heating upgrades;
> >         §   new motors and drives for building energy systems;
> >         §   office equipment upgrades (including copiers, 
> computers, and communications equipment);
> >         §   environmental controls (including controls for 
> heating and cooling, circuits, and processes);
> >             and
> >         §   building envelope improvements (including 
> windows, roofing, and insulation).
> 
> 
> > The industry composition used to generate these employment 
> estimates 
> > in the I-O model is presented here: Table 3
> > Category  Industry composition in I-O Model (direct impacts)
> > Lighting  70% lighting fixture manufacturing, 30% installation3
> > <snip>
> > Office equipment 28% photocopying equipment, 28% computer 
> equipment, 7% telephone
> 
<http://www.peri.umass.edu/fileadmin/pdf/research_brief/PERI_USGBC_Resea
rch_Brief.pdf>
-- 
Marghanita da Cruz
http://ramin.com.au
Tel: 0414-869202


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