[LINK] On the Day that you were born (UN Population Clock)

Kim Holburn kim at holburn.net
Tue Nov 8 19:22:27 AEDT 2011

On 2011/Nov/08, at 3:34 PM, Rick Welykochy wrote:

> kim holburn wrote:
>> Makes me think of the Carter Catastrophe.
>> On Tue, Nov 8, 2011 at 9:36 AM, Tom Koltai<tomk at unwired.com.au>  wrote:
>>> http://www.7billionandme.org/
> I had a quick read of the Carter Catastrophe. The idea seems flawed, since
> it predicts species extinction as the final consequence of population
> growth.

Not really.  It just annunciates that most species on earth are extinct and the most likely fate for all species is extinction.   The typical population curve of any species is an exponential rise then sudden crash to extinction.  That all is known fact.  The Carter Catastrophe says that the most likely time for a member of a species to live is near the place where there are equal numbers of lives on either side of it in the curve.  Because the curve is mostly exponential, that point is quite close to the crash.  The Carter Catastrophe says therefore we are living near the end of our species.  It's not widely accepted.

> It is quite possible that there will be a huge population correction
> once limits to growth are reached and we survive with an albeit much
> smaller population.
> chhers
> rickw
> -- 
> _________________________________
> Rick Welykochy || Praxis Services
> A polar bear is a rectangular bear after a coordinate transform.
>     -- Anon.

Kim Holburn
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