[LINK] Standards, please! The third coming of electric vehicles

[Ben Elliston]

On Sun, Apr 22, 2012 at 02:02:22AM +1000, Frank O'Connor wrote:

> But the supply of hydrocarbons seems to be increasing if natural
> gas, fracking, shale oil, shale gas, and other sources are taken
> into account. The current estimate is that we have 500 years or more
> of hydrocarbon fuel sources at current or better than current demand
> levels.

500 years?  To quote Albert Bartlett, "The greatest shortcoming of the
human race is our inability to understand the exponential function."

It doesn't really matter how much hydrocarbon fuel is believed to be
out there.  If you take IPCC emissions trajectories seriously, we
don't even need to be exploring for any fossil fuel.  We already have
enough to cover the transition to full decarbonisation.

Ben
-------------- next part --------------
A non-text attachment was scrubbed...
Name: signature.asc
Type: application/pgp-signature
Size: 828 bytes
Desc: Digital signature
URL: <https://mailman.anu.edu.au/pipermail/link/attachments/20120422/601e261b/attachment.sig>