[LINK] Propaganda, manipulation and the abuse of media [Was: IPA, astroturfing and fantsy themes/Science under attack]

Bernard Robertson-Dunn brd at iimetro.com.au
Wed Feb 22 13:01:09 AEDT 2012

Two things:

1. the backfire effect

The "backfire effect" is a term coined by Brendan Nyhan and Jason 
Reifler to describe how some individuals when confronted with evidence 
that conflicts with their beliefs come to hold their original position 
even more strongly.

2. I'm not a climate scientist but I do claim to know a quite a bit 
about modelling.

The models the climate scientists use for their predictions are very 
suspect. They are a) linear (the world is non-linear) and b) they are 
incomplete (they leave out potentially critical effect).

This means, to me, that the climate change predictions are not to be 
trusted. That does not mean that I doubt global climate change, but I do 
doubt that we understand the impact of human activity. Climate change 
may well be happening faster and more dangerously than the climate 
scientists predict.

The only sensible course to me is to do as little damage to the 
environment as possible.

Just MHO.



Bernard Robertson-Dunn
Canberra Australia
email:   brd at iimetro.com.au
website: www.drbrd.com

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