[LINK] How fast is the NBN?

[Karl Auer]

On Fri, 2016-02-26 at 14:34 +1100, David Boxall wrote (quoting someone):
> > That 15 GB is an overestimate...
> No, it isn't. Rural, regional and remote students typically exceed it.

It doesn't matter whether it's over or under. It's TODAY. This network
is supposed to take us years into the future and we are pissing about
with teeny weeny volumes like 15GB?

One person watching one hour of current HD video per day works out to
about 90GB per month. A three-person family watching different things at
different times will rack up 270GB per month. And that's just one hour
each. At current data densities. Not including all the other things they
may do. Even assuming they all watch the same stuff at the same time
(yeah, right) and only in low-def, it's still 30GB per month.

It is a mystery to me that allegedly hi-tech people, people allegedly in
tune with trends and technology, will spend so much time discussing what
people "really" need, and putting ridiculous numbers on it. Hopeful,
sad, condescending little numbers.

In IT there are only three useful values for bandwidth, RAM, CPU cycles
and disk space - "not enough", "enough", and "I don't know". The only
value to aspire to is "I don't know".

Whatever they need today, tomorrow people will need MORE. Great steaming
piles of MORE. Cartloads, truckloads, and shedloads of MORE. For the
provision of general Internet access, implementing any carrier
technology where we are already near the upper limit is stupid.
Implementing such technologies when we already have technologies
available with upper limits so far away we can barely see them is
stupidity that defies credence.

Regards, K.

-- 
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Karl Auer (kauer at biplane.com.au)
http://www.biplane.com.au/kauer
http://twitter.com/kauer389

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