[LINK] Will humans be banned from driving?

[Frank O'Connor]

Sorry, fired that last puppy off before I’d finished.

> On 1 Jun 2016, at 11:11 PM, Bernard Robertson-Dunn <brd at iimetro.com.au> wrote:
> 
> Table 1
> 1970-1982 road deaths were over 1000/year peaking in 1978 at 1384
> The latest year reported, 2014 was 303.
> 
> Deaths per 1000 persons
> 1978   0.27 (population 5,054,000)
> 2014   0.04 (population 7,517,000)
> 
> Total crashes
> 1974 128,842 (Peak)
> 2014   36,981
> 
> Crashes per 1000 persons
> 1978   26.3 (population 4,894,000)
> 2014     4.9 (population 7,517,000)
> 
> The pdf has a range of other statistics, all of which show a reduction
> to approximately one tenth of those in 1970 and to a third of those in
> the early 1990s 

That’s a 40 year spread.

I did say that in the last 20 years there had been little variation, and if you compare the stats between 1995 and 2015 you’ll see - beyond a doubt - that there has been little observable effect on the crash rates or fatalities. Prior to that 20 year cut off date the figures were catastrophic - here in Victoria we were losing about 1100 people per annum to motor vehicle fatalities - we had a big 'Ten-Eighty’ (1080) campaign in the 70’s as a result, the figures and trends were probably the same or worse in NSW and other states.

> My view is that incremental changes
> will take us only so far. Look out for black swans and disruptive
> technologies - not a natural development.

We’ll talk about it in 20 or 30 years. 

See, I’m still an optimist.       :)

Just my 2 cents worth ...