[LINK] Demand 'still not there' for 1Gbps: NBN Co
linkdb at boxall.name
Fri Feb 17 09:34:57 AEDT 2017
On 15/02/2017 10:36 PM, Stephen Loosley wrote:
> ... this afternoon on the NBN website is a blog by Bill Morrow. He’s the
Chief Executive Officer of nbn. He does make some interesting points, ...
How interesting are the points he makes? How revealing are the points he
tries to make?
What would a sceptic make of output from an overtly political
organisation like nbn™, particularly when the headline ends with "The
> Rather than build for a demand that may materialise in 10 years, we are constructing a national network capable of continuous upgrading to meet market needs as and when they arise. ...
Is that sensible or responsible?
We're building with materials that should serve for a century or more.
Most of the cost is in labour and logistics, not the fibre. Overall, the
cost of trenching or ducting 144-strand (or more) cable is not
substantially greater than doing it with 4-strand. Yet nbn™ specifies
the lowest capacity that will meet current demand (4-strand for FttN
feeds, for example). Their architecture typically caters for a
quadrupling of demand, if not less. In a market in which demand is
increasing exponentially, that should do until next Wednesday (slight
Again, Morrow raises the Conservative cost bogey. As I've pointed out,
characteristics and prices of the technology are such that we could
afford to write off the cost of a full-fibre network over its service
life. We won't have to, but we could. Add to that the fact that interest
rates are at historic lows - there's never been a better time to borrow
funds. The reality is that cost is insignificant, notwithstanding
Finally, nbn™ deliberately sabotaged the network by changing its
topology. It's now less reliable and more difficult to upgrade.
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