[LINK] The government's coronavirus modelling

Bernard Robertson-Dunn brd at iimetro.com.au
Tue Apr 7 22:03:23 AEST 2020


Jan,
Good idea. I'll work on it.
Bernard
On 7/04/2020 7:10 pm, jwhit at internode.on.net wrote:
> I haven't read the papers and may not. Have you considered asking that
> question to Andrew Probyn so he can ask about it in those briefings?
> Or Phil Coorey even? Or other journos, maybe Kathryn Murphy 
>
> Minister, where is the modelling you've actually been paying for from
> ..xxxx ?
>
> Jan
>
>
>
>     ----- Original Message -----
>     From:
>     "Bernard Robertson-Dunn" <brd at iimetro.com.au>
>
>     To:
>     "Link List" <link at mailman.anu.edu.au>
>     Cc:
>
>     Sent:
>     Tue, 7 Apr 2020 18:10:08 +1000
>     Subject:
>     [LINK] The government's coronavirus modelling
>
>
>     What really annoys me is when the government tries to do a snow job on
>     us all
>
>     Scotty from marketing today put on his salesman's hat and tried to
>     convince the country that his presentation on coronavirus
>     modelling was
>     all they had.
>
>     This was the slide deck he used:
>
>     https://s3.amazonaws.com/files.scribblelive.com/2020/4/7/2928378_340853142bc011a4-b1b9-4fd2-9358-d26f2130b1a5.pdf
>
>     A few little details.
>
>     There is nothing in those slides that applies to Australia.
>
>     He references the University of Melbourne (Doherty Institute) pandemic
>     modelling team but not Quantium Health.
>
>     According to this:
>
>     https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2020/mar/28/government-increases-spend-on-covid-19-data-analytics-as-it-declines-to-release-modelling
>
>     "The health department upped its spend on a contract with Quantium
>     Health from $1.1m to $3.1m"
>
>     Quantium Health is a Joint Venture between Discovery Ltd, and
>     Quantium Group
>
>     Discovery Ltd is a South African Financial services company
>
>     en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Discovery
>
>     and the Quantium group does data analytics.
>
>     https://quantium.com/
>
>     Their web site says: "Translating raw data into actionable insight"
>
>     It looks to me as though they have done a lot of economic
>     modelling but
>     a) don't want to own up to it and b) have done no pandemic modelling
>     beyond what others have done and released weeks ago.
>
>     If you want to see what modelling has been going on around the world
>     look at this:
>
>     https://coronavirustechhandbook.com/forecasting
>
>     especially Imperial College work.
>
>     https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/sph/ide/gida-fellowships/Imperial-College-COVID19-NPI-modelling-16-03-2020.pdf
>
>     Scotty said in his presentation that more realistic models and plans
>     will be developed and that the "Focus of future modelling is based on
>     real world Australian data"
>
>     The government must have a lot of data already otherwise Quantium
>     Health
>     would have nothing to show for its millions. What modelling has the
>     government already done on that data but has not released?
>
>     I can't believe they have been making decisions on the modelling they
>     released today. They may cunning but they are not stupid.
>
>     IMHO, the big questions are "What is he hiding and why?"
>
>     -- 
>
>     Regards
>     brd
>
>     Bernard Robertson-Dunn
>     Canberra Australia
>     email: brd at iimetro.com.au
>
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-- 

Regards
brd

Bernard Robertson-Dunn
Canberra Australia
email: brd at iimetro.com.au




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