[LINK] Covid Modelling

[Bernard Robertson-Dunn]

On 26/10/2021 10:30 pm, Stephen Loosley wrote:
>
> Has the modelling Australia has relied on during this pandemic been 
> inaccurate?
>
The argument against modelling is the same as that against the Y2000 
bug. It was suggested that if nothing was done there would be trouble. 
There was no trouble so the suggestion was wrong.

That's not what happened. What happened was that something was done so 
there was no trouble.

The same as Covid, although some trouble did happen, but not as bad as 
predicted.

The sad thing is that it was the States that did something, hamstrung by 
the Federal government's failure to deliver vaccines in a timely manner.

-- 

Regards
brd

Bernard Robertson-Dunn
Canberra Australia
email: brd at iimetro.com.au