[LINK] Uncrewed submarines as ocean becomes ‘transparent’

[Stephen Loosley]

You make sense Tony and Link .. thanks .. hope you’re right .. but if China just loads up it’s huge commercial shipping fleet with troops and equipment and sends them off .. who would stop them? American won’t sink (what’s effectively troop ships) looking like normal shipping. China has already built many staging ports across the region. And so, only when they land a million men from their beached ships might we actively defend northern Aussie. Waay too late. They’d arrive on-shore in numbers too many to turn around. Once they’re here, we are sunk. Only a nuclear defensive-decision would surely be possible, horrible as that sounds ☹


Even the Lowy Institute (gasp!) now finally admits to the problems. They say, “Across China, an estimated<https://www.scmp.com/news/china/policies-politics/article/1935314/80-cent-groundwater-chinas-major-river-basins-unsafe> 80–90 per cent of groundwater is unfit for drinking, while half of its aquifers are too polluted to tap for industry or farming. For river water, these  figures<https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2021-12-29/china-s-water-shortage-is-scary-for-india-thailand-vietnam?sref=K9oHjgnZ> are 50 per cent and 25 per cent respectively. Water scarcity is now emerging as an underappreciated challenge<https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/abba52>.”
https://www.lowyinstitute.org/the-interpreter/water-scarcity-challenges-china-s-development-model

It’s a pity if we loose Australia, and end up in re-education camps. China is apparently well-experienced with those. And will have even more experience with all their Taiwan residents?
☹


From: Antony Barry<mailto:antonybbarry at me.com>
Sent: Saturday, 8 April 2023 11:56 AM
To: Stephen Loosley<mailto:StephenLoosley at outlook.com>
Cc: Link at mailman.anu.edu.au<mailto:link at mailman.anu.edu.au>
Subject: Re: [LINK] Uncrewed submarines as ocean becomes ‘transparent’

The US would take a dim view of a Chinese invasion of Australia because of the strategic importance of Pine Gap and the presence of US military assets in Darwin, not just the ANZUS treaty. They would be reliant on vulnerable sea bourne logistics which the US Navy would crush. As well Australia has great strategic depth because of its size. making logistics on land vulnerable also. Yes, they could take a few ports easily but holding them would be another matter.

Tony

On Sat, Apr 8, 2023 at 12:57 AM Stephen Loosley <StephenLoosley at outlook.com<mailto:StephenLoosley at outlook.com>> wrote:
Oops .. previous email sent incomplete ..

Well, to me, it appears the only national threat we have is China.

Anytime, China could take & hold much of our northern coastline
utilizing it’s large commercial fleet, hundreds of kilometres inland.

The only thing we can do then, is to use localized nuclear weapons.

Yes, use low yield nuclear weapons on our own lands, discharged in
uninhabited areas of the Australian continent. No-one uses the land.

Or hope original-peoples agree to leasing significant areas of country
to enable China to resettle a significant population due to little water.

If China attacks Australia to gain clean settlement-land due to drought
we cannot win that fight. David/Goliath. Best negotiate a lease/treaty.


Cheers,
Stephen



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