[LINK] Exponential growth [was Microsoft is dead ... were it so!]

Alan L Tyree alan at austlii.edu.au
Fri Apr 13 10:31:33 AEST 2007


On Fri, 13 Apr 2007 09:56:47 +1000
Antony Barry <tony at tony-barry.emu.id.au> wrote:

> 
> On 13/04/2007, at 7:24 AM, Alan L Tyree wrote:
> 
> > Precisely. When faced with a very difficult problem, humans used
> > their strongest resource: intelligence, science, technology,  
> > 'engineering' in
> > the very broadest sense. They prevented what Erlich said could not
> > be prevented.
> 
> Technology is not magic. "She'll be right" doesn't work with  
> technology as there are limitations such as the first and second
> laws of thermodynamics. Unlimited growth is impossible in a finite
> system.

Gosh, I'm glad somebody pointed that out to me. Here I was thinking
that exponential growth could be sustained indefinitely.

I guess you guys are all correct: we are doomed.

Population = a*exp(k*t)

Food = b*t + k

Plug it into Eleanor's formula.

We're dead. Just like Erlich and Malthus said. Guess I'll give up and go
have a cappuccino.

> 
> Tony
> 
> phone : 02 6241 7659 | mailto:me at Tony-Barry.emu.id.au
> mobile: 04 1242 0397 | mailto:tony.barry at alianet.alia.org.au
> http://tony-barry.emu.id.au
> 
> 
> 


-- 
Alan L Tyree                    http://www2.austlii.edu.au/~alan
Tel: +61 2 4782 2670            Mobile: +61 427 486 206
Fax: +61 2 4782 7092            FWD: 615662



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