Subject: [LINK] Considering Fibre to the Home

[Kim Holburn]

On 2007/May/08, at 10:15 AM, Stewart Fist wrote:
> So it makes sense for Australia to go with FTTC and wait for the next
> upgrade stage, before we take fibre over the last 100 yards. We can  
> then get
> the lower costs and better systems when prices drop after the USA,  
> Asia and
> Europe get into full production.
>
> Upgrading the last-100 can also be done progressively-on-demand if  
> you use
> FTTC-nodes as an interim stage. Not everyone needs (or wants) to  
> swap over
> to FTTH at the same time.  It is best done in stages.
>
>
> So Fibre to the home with say, 40Gbps of bandwidth, is probably the  
> final
> stage.  All technologies have a limit (not necessarily technical)  
> in terms
> of social or cultural requirements.
>
> We have a four-lane bitumen road dowm the streets (two of which are  
> used for
> parking) and have had these four for nearly a century.  I see no  
> reason to
> want it upgraded to 6 lanes.  Nor do I need bigger water pipes, or  
> more than
> 250 volts of electric current.
>
> I'm not an infinite-extrapolist, so my guess is that no home in  
> Australia
> will need more than a gigabit-per-sec of bandwidth, even in the  
> life-time of
> your grand-child's grand-child.

Yeah, and the world market for computers is probably about 5 in total  
and you will never need more the 640K of memory.  While I agree with  
almost everything else you said I don't agree with this.  Computing  
and networking are moving so fast it is impossible to predict even a  
few years in the future.

> Personally, I hope they keep the old 'rusty copper' in place, since  
> it can
> be used to provide DC feeds, and is ideal for security systems.

They have such new technology for putting in cables now, the "old"  
copper in my suburb was just completely replaced by Telstra about 3  
years ago using directed drills and taking just a few weeks all up.   
I was interested watching it all but I don't use Telstra when I can  
possibly avoid it and so I was with Transact at the time which has  
fibre to the node and very expensive VDSL to the house but that's  
another story.

Kim

--
Kim Holburn
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