[LINK] ICT Predictions 2009
Bernard Robertson-Dunn
brd at iimetro.com.au
Tue Jan 6 10:39:05 AEDT 2009
Tom Worthington wrote:
> The Canberra Times newspaper included an item with predictions of
> what will happen with computers and telecommunications in 2009 ("Big
> loads in gloomy paths", Simon Grouse, Canberra Times, 5 January
> 2009). Here is a summary of mine:
>
> ... new energy and space-efficient equipment
> ... will reduce the number of servers
> needed to one for each 50 existing servers
>
> The 10,000 m2 ... of large government data centre space the Gershon
> Report found in Canberra, will be reduced to about 100m2.
I find this hard to agree with.
IT budgets typically have 50-80% spend on just maintaining existing
systems. The rest gets spent on new systems. The effort to rejig
existing systems would have to come at the cost of new system
development or increased IT budget, neither of which makes sense in
terms of return on investment or departmental priorities. It's also a
significant risk, as is any change to an IT system.
In addition, the skill sets required to completely change the IT
infrastructure do not exist in current IT departments.
I predict that the realities of IT system management along with
pragmatic cost/benefit studies will trump any ideological requirement to
make major changes to existing data centres.
--
Regards
brd
Bernard Robertson-Dunn
Canberra Australia
brd at iimetro.com.au
More information about the Link
mailing list