[LINK] Turnbull's NBN

Roger Clarke Roger.Clarke at xamax.com.au
Wed Apr 10 11:17:21 AEST 2013


At 10:26 +1000 10/4/13, Paul Brooks wrote:
>75% of the cost to build 70% of the network in 80% of the timeframe 
>to provide less than 10% of the capacity - visionary.

Great 20-second sound-bite!


At 10:26 +1000 10/4/13, Paul Brooks wrote:
>VDSL2 is really just ADSL2+++  -  VDSL2 on a single phone line can 
>get up to 80 Mbps if you are real close to the exchange and have a 
>good line, and beyond about 800 metres line length the speed has 
>decreased to be identical with ADSL2+ speeds at that distance, and 
>then decreases with distance just as ADSL2+ does.
>They are proposing to put nodes out on the street side with the 
>VDSL2 equipment that would normally be in the exchange, and 
>reterminate the middle of existing phone lines into the node 
>cabinets. so that they can guarantee that nobody's phone line is 
>longer than 800 metres. That 800 metre figure has not been chosen at 
>random. And they are proposing to replace the last-mile cable IF it 
>won't support the 25 Mbps speed.
>Effectively its a whole pile more RIM cabinets, except that the 
>current RIM cabinets are sited so the maximum line length is around 
>1.5 km - which was Telstra's original NBN 1.0 proposal back in 2005, 
>based on ADSL2+. This coalition proposal is NBN 5.0

Great thanks Paul!  I *think* there's nearly enough there to audit 
whatever Turnbull said about the number of suburban boxes.

But I'm not good enough on surfaces theory, or is it string theory, 
or travelling-salesman modelling, or Petri nets, or ... ?

Thinking inner urban areas only, and assuming 20-60 dwellings per 
hectare, and that a suburb of 100 hectares might have 4,000 dwellings 
and 15km of streets, and laying along streets only, not across 
properties, and there are no parks or other common land to exploit 
(etc., etc.).

To have every home within 800m of a box, I'm guessing 20 boxes for 
4,000 dwellings.

If 'inner urban' is 10 million people at 2.5 people per dwelling, 
that's 4 million dwellings.

That's 20,000 boxes, for the half of the population in inner urban areas.

The next quarter are half as dense (the population numbers, I mean, 
as distinct from the people ...).

That's another, say, 20,000 boxes for the less dense suburbs and towns.

Did Malcolm say 40,000 boxes?

And I wonder how much NIMBY reaction there would be.  (No doubt some 
group would emerge to tell us that the emanations from the boxes 
fades your genes).


Isn't it lucky that the 'plan' will become a non-core promise about a 
year after the election.


-- 
Roger Clarke                                 http://www.rogerclarke.com/

Xamax Consultancy Pty Ltd      78 Sidaway St, Chapman ACT 2611 AUSTRALIA
                    Tel: +61 2 6288 1472, and 6288 6916
mailto:Roger.Clarke at xamax.com.au                http://www.xamax.com.au/

Visiting Professor in the Faculty of Law               University of NSW
Visiting Professor in Computer Science    Australian National University



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