[LINK] Death of Moore's Law Will Cause Economic Crisis
kim at holburn.net
Wed Mar 23 11:02:19 AEDT 2011
People have been prophesying the end of Moore's Law for some time. The main issue has been not a particular technology but the ultimate scaling issues - reaching one atom wide pathways, transistors. It's likely that we will find ways around it, be it perhaps 3D chips, photonics, something biological, or even just multiple chips - parallel processing...
Michio Kaku should know that what looks impossible now may not look so in the future. He wrote a book about things we can do now or will shortly be able to do that everyone thought would be completely impossible a few decades ago.
On 2011/Mar/23, at 5:58 AM, fernando cassia wrote:
> Gordon Moore's famous law about the doubling of transistor density and
> power every two years will not only end it could bring economic disaster
> in its wake, respected scientist Michio Kaku has predicted in a new
> book. [ Link http://ho.io/n3nt ]
> Kaku sets out the crunch moment as being the point at which ultraviolet
> light can no longer tuned to etch ever smaller circuits on to silicon
> wafers, which on current trends will kick in less than a decade from
> now. From that moment on, Moore's Law will gradually diminish, and the
> effects will not only be technological but economic.
> Link mailing list
> Link at mailman.anu.edu.au
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